Done. I've written the FY2026 scenario memo to `/tmp/spb-out-of-scope-claude-yy1vm48z/output/scenario-memo.md`.

The scenario memo shows Base EBITDA of $303K with Upside reaching $501K (driven by two Enterprise closes and the January price increase holding) and Downside at ($6K) if three watch-list accounts churn and vendor costs aren't passed through. The recommendation is to plan to Base while tracking the specific risks that would trigger movement to Downside.