Done. I've created the scenario memo for FY2026 with base, upside, and downside cases. Here's what the analysis shows:

**EBITDA Range:** Base case projects $303K, ranging from a loss of ($6K) in Downside to $501K in Upside—a span of $507K across the three scenarios.

**What Moves EBITDA:**

- **Upside** (+$197K): Two drivers add value. The two Enterprise deals closing in January contribute $135K. The price increase in January adds another $62K.

- **Downside** (−$309K): Three factors drive the loss. Losing three credit-watch-list accounts costs $203K. Vendor costs in March that aren't passed through reduce margins by $78K. Rising carrier fuel surcharges add $28K more expense.

The memo recommends planning to Base and identifies the Enterprise deal closures as the key signal—if either slips to February, the plan is at risk. The team should prepare now to lock in price hold commitments with the three accounts at risk and develop a mitigation plan for the vendor cost pressure.

The memo is in `/output/scenario-memo.md`, and the input data (`scenarios_fy2026.csv`) is in `/data/`.