Done. Your FY2026 EBITDA spans ($6K) to $501K—a $507K range around a Base case of $303K. 

The Upside ($501K) hinges on two Enterprise deals closing in January plus price sticking—those two drivers alone create a $197K swing. The Downside ($6K in losses) is driven by three headwinds equally: three customer losses on the credit watch list cost ($203K), unrecovered vendor price pressure costs ($78K), and freight surcharges add ($28K). The memo is in `output/scenario-memo.md`.