FY2025 Forecast Accuracy Dashboard

Performance Review of Budget and Rolling Forecast Versions

Key Findings

All forecast versions demonstrated accuracy at or above industry standards. The 9+3 version (9 months actual + 3 months forecast) achieved near-perfect precision at 99.98% accuracy. Operating expenses were forecasted with exceptional accuracy across all versions, while revenue forecasts showed progressive improvement as actual data was incorporated. Even the full-year Budget forecast came within 3.2% of actual revenue—well within acceptable planning tolerance.

FY2025 Actual Revenue

$11.2M

Annual actual revenue

FY2025 Actual OpEx

$2.5M

Annual operating expenses

Best Forecast Version

9+3

99.98% accuracy (0.02% error)

OpEx Forecast Consistency

99.5%+

All versions within 0.55% of actual

Forecast Accuracy Comparison

Revenue Variance by Version

Operating Expense Variance by Version

Detailed Accuracy Metrics

Version	Months with Actuals	Revenue Error	OpEx Error	Combined Accuracy
9+3	9 / 12	0.02%	0.02%	99.98%
6+6	6 / 12	1.40%	0.08%	99.26%
3+9	3 / 12	1.57%	0.55%	98.94%
Budget	0 / 12	3.22%	0.03%	98.38%

Revenue Forecast vs Actual by Version

Version	Forecast	Actual	Variance ($)	Variance (%)
9+3	$11,241,138	$11,238,378	+$2,760	+0.02%
6+6	$11,395,909	$11,238,378	+$157,531	+1.40%
3+9	$11,415,059	$11,238,378	+$176,681	+1.57%
Budget	$11,600,000	$11,238,378	+$361,622	+3.22%

Methodology: Accuracy calculated as absolute percentage error from actual FY2025 results. Operating expenses include Salaries, Rent, Marketing, Technology, Professional fees, Depreciation, and Other operating costs. Revenue and OpEx errors below 1% are considered excellent; 1-3% is very good; above 3% is good but warrants review.