**9+3 landed closest on revenue.** Its full-year revenue forecast was $11,241K against $11,238K actual, a variance of $3K, or 0.02%. Its MAPE was 0.63%.

**Revenue ran high in every version.**

| Version | FY variance | MAPE | Bias |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Budget | $362K, or 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| 3+9 | $177K, or 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| 6+6 | $158K, or 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| 9+3 | $3K, or 0.02% | 0.63% | 0.10% |

- **9+3 had only three months left to forecast.** The other nine months were closed actuals, so its accuracy says little about how well we forecast.
- **6+6 had one large revenue miss.** It forecast $1,156K for 2025-09 against $1,005K actual, a variance of $151K, or 15.0%. The data doesn't show what the forecast assumed for that month.
- **Budget also missed 2025-07 revenue by 15.0%.** It forecast $1,009K against $878K actual, and 3+9 still carried $957K for that month.
- **Operating expenses were tighter than revenue.** 9+3 was again closest, with a MAPE of 0.30%.
- **Budget's operating expense variance hides large monthly misses.** Its full-year variance was only ($1K), but its MAPE was 4.1%, so the misses cancelled out.
- **3+9 ran low on operating expenses.** Its bias was (0.74%).

The full note, with both tables and the data notes, is in `output/accuracy-note.md`. The figures are in `output/accuracy.json`.